Musi waKubvumbi 14, 2022, World Steel Association (WSA) yakaburitsa yazvino vhezheni yenguva pfupi-pfupi (2022-2023) simbi yekuda kufanotaura chirevo.Maererano neshumo, kudiwa kwesimbi pasi rose kucharamba kuchikura ne 0.4 muzana kusvika 1.8402 mabhiriyoni ematani muna 2022, mushure mekukura ne 2.7 muzana muna 2021. Muna 2023, pasi rose kudiwa kwesimbi kucharamba kuchikura ne 2.2 per cent kusvika 1.881.4 mabhiriyoni ematani. .Muchirevo chemhirizhonga yeRussia-Ukraine, mhedzisiro yekufanotaura ikozvino haina chokwadi.
Kufanotaura kwekudiwa kwesimbi kwakafukidzwa nekukwira kwemitengo uye kusava nechokwadi
Achitaura nezvenyaya iyi, Maximo Vedoya, Sachigaro weWorld Steel Association’s Market Research Committee, akati: “Patinobudisa fungidziro iyi yenguva pfupi yokudiwa kwesimbi, Ukraine iri pakati penjodzi yevanhu neyoupfumi zvichitevera kurwiswa kwemauto eRussia.Tese zvedu tinoda kupera kwekutanga kwehondo iyi uye nerunyararo rwekutanga.Muna 2021, kupora kwacho kwaive kwakasimba kupfuura zvaitarisirwa mumatunhu mazhinji pasi pekukanganiswa nedenda, kunyangwe paine matambudziko ekutengesa uye kutenderera kwakawanda kweCCIDID-19.Nekudaro, kudzikira kusingatarisirwi kwehupfumi hweChina kwakaderedza kukura kwepasi rose kudiwa kwesimbi muna 2021. Kudiwa kwesimbi muna 2022 na2023 hakuna chokwadi."Tarisiro yedu yekugara yakagadzikana uye yakagadzikana yakazununguswa nekuputika kwehondo muUkraine uye kukwira kwemitengo."
Predicted background
Mhedzisiro yekupokana ichasiyana nedunhu, zvichienderana nekutengeserana kwayo kwakananga uye kuratidzwa kwemari kuRussia neUkraine.Iko pakarepo uye inoparadza kukanganisa kwekukonana kweUkraine kwakagovaniswa neRussia, uye European Union yakakanganiswa zvakanyanya nekutsamira kwayo kusimba reRussia uye kuswedera kwayo kwenzvimbo kunzvimbo yekupokana.Kwete izvozvo chete, asi kukanganisa kwakanzwika pasi rose nekuda kwesimba repamusoro uye mitengo yezvinhu, kunyanya kune zvigadzirwa zvinodiwa pakugadzira simbi, uye kuenderera mberi kwekuvhiringidzwa kwemaketani ekugovera izvo zvakange zvatambudza indasitiri yesimbi pasi rose kunyange hondo isati yatanga.Uye zvakare, kusagadzikana kwemusika wezvemari uye kusavimbika kwakanyanya kuchakanganisa kuvimba kwevanodyara mari.
Izvo zvakakonzerwa nehondo muUkraine, pamwe nekuderera kwekukura kwehupfumi hweChina, zvinotarisirwa kudzikisa kukura kwesimbi yepasi rose muna 2022. Pamusoro pezvo, kuenderera mberi kwekubuda kweCCIDID-19 mune dzimwe nzvimbo dzepasi, kunyanya China, uye. kukwira kwemhindu kunopawo njodzi dzakaderera kuhupfumi.Kuomeswa kuri kutarisirwa kwegwaro remari reUS kuchawedzera njodzi yekushata kwemari munyika dziri kusimukira.
Iyo fungidziro yepasi rose kudiwa kwesimbi muna 2023 haina chokwadi.Kufanotaura kweWISA kunofunga kuti kumira muUkraine kuchapera panosvika 2022, asi zvirango zveRussia zvicharamba zviripo.
Zvakare, iyo geopolitical dynamics yakatenderedza Ukraine ichava nezvainoreva kune yepasi rose simbi indasitiri.Izvi zvinosanganisira kugadziriswa kwemaitiro ekutengeserana kwepasi rose, shanduko yekutengeserana kwesimba uye kukanganisa kwayo pakushandurwa kwesimba, uye kuenderera mberi kwekugadzirisa kwepasi rose rekutengesa.