Indekisi yeBDI yakawira pasi mumwedzi ye20 yapfuura, yakakwevera pasi nekudonha kwakanyanya muCapesize ship rates, iyo yakaoma yakawanda yemusika mukota yechina inotevera inogona kuva nguva isina simba.

Iyo Baltic Dry Index (BDI) yakanyura mapoinzi makumi mana nerimwe kusvika ku1,279 muna Nyamavhuvhu 19, pasi ne3.1% pazuva, ichirova chikamu chayo chakaderera kubva muna Zvita 2020. Mumavhiki apfuura, nekuda kwekutarisa kweChina kudiwa kwesimbi, yakasanganiswa nekupisa kwemamiriro ekunze chibage cheFrench. chirimwa, kuwandisa kwesimba kunonetsa kugaya, marasha pallet increment haina kukwana, uye zvimwe zvinhu zvinoda kushaya simba, BDI index yakapera Aug. 16 mana akatevedzana ekutengesa zuva pasi, kunyangwe akapora zvishoma pazuva re17 Nyamavhuvhu, asi akadonha zvakare mazuva maviri gare gare. .

Pakati pavo, musika wengarava weCapesize unokanganiswa nebasa rakaderera renzira dziri kure dzemigodhi, kudiwa kwekufambisa kuri kuramba kuchiodzwa mwoyo, uye mutengo wevanochata uri pachena, izvo zvinosimudzira kudzvanywa kwemutengo wekutakura wengarava dzeCapesize dzinotakura ore yesimbi.

Baltic Capesize bulk carrier Index yakawira 216 points kusvika 867 musi waAugust 18th, ichidonha pasi pe1,000 kwekutanga kubva pakupera kwaJanuary, kana 20 muzana pazuva;Yakawira imwe 111 points, kana 12.8%, kusvika 756 muna August 19. Kuderera kwevhiki nevhiki kwe42.5% kwaiva kukuru mumwedzi misere, uye Capesize mari yezuva nezuva yakawira $ 921 kusvika ku $ 6,267, pasi pemutengo we $ 15,000.

Mumusika wePanamax uye ultramax, kunyange zvazvo kudiwa kwemarasha kubva kuIndonesia kuenda kuChina kwakawedzera zvishoma, kuwedzera kwekutengesa kwemarasha kunoramba kuripo nekuda kwekugadzikana kwemusha muChina;Nzira dzezviyo, nepo kubvunza kwakawanda, kuchiri kunetsa uye musika wePacific unoramba wakaora mwoyo, zvichikonzera mitengo yakasanganiswa yePanamax uye ngarava dzepamusoro-soro dzinotakura marasha nezviyo.

Iyo Baltic Panamax Bulk Carrier Index (BPI) yakadonha makumi matanhatu neimwe mapoinzi, kana 3.5%, kusvika 1,688 muna Nyamavhuvhu 19, ichienda kune kuderera kwevhiki nevhiki kwe11.Iyo Baltic BSI yakasimuka mapoinzi makumi matatu nenomwe kuenda ku1,735, ichimukira chikamu chechitanhatu chakatwasuka uye ichimaka svondo rayo rakanakisa mumwedzi mishanu.

Kubva muna Chivabvu gore rino, iyo BDI index yanga ichidonha munzira yese.Vamwe vatyairi vengarava vanoti izvi zvinonyanya kukanganiswa nekudiwa kwese kweChina, kunyanya kuderera kwekudyara kwezvivakwa kweChina kunokonzerwa nekupararira kwezvivakwa zvisina kupera.Kana ari matambudziko achangoburwa emagetsi muChina, kukanganisa kweindasitiri yesimbi kushoma, chete zvisina kunanga zvinhu.

Goldman Sachs anofungidzira kuti kupihwa kwesimbi muhafu yechipiri yegore kunogona kuwandisa nemamiriyoni makumi matanhatu nenomwe emamiriyoni, zvichidzoreredza kushomeka kwehafu yekutanga yegore, uye kudzikisa mutengo wayo wesimbi mumwedzi mitanhatu inotevera kusvika pamadhora makumi masere nemashanu. kubva $110.

Sezvo chikamu chechina chinowanzova mwaka wepamusoro wekutakura kwesimbi, Yumin Shipping inotarisira kudiwa kwengarava dzeCapesize kuve dzisina simba mumwaka wepamusoro, uye rendi yemazuva ese inogona kutanga yadzokera padanho remutengo.Kutevera kunoramba kuchionekwa, asi zvinofungidzirwa kuti zvichave zvakaoma kudzokorora rendi yezuva nezuva yemadhora makumi matanhatu kusvika makumi manomwe emadhora mumwaka wepamusoro gore rapfuura.

Pamusika diki uye wepakati nepakati ngarava, Huiyang Shipping inotenda kuti kunobva zvikepe zvidiki uye zvepakati zvakasiyana, uye kutakurwa kwezvinhu zvakawanda zvakanyanya marasha, zviyo, marudzi ese emaminerari nesimende.Kunyange kana paine kumwe kuderera kudzvinyirira, kuderera hakusi pachena.Nekudaro, iyo peak mwaka mhedzisiro yezvikepe zvidiki uye zvepakati muchikamu chechitatu chegore rino hazvisi pachena, nekuda kwekutsiviwa kwechikamu kwezvikepe zvihombe, uye huwandu hwese hwezvinhu mumusika hwakaderedzwa, asi ichiri pamusoro pemutengo.

Kunyange zvakadaro, misika yakawanda haisi isina mashoko akanaka.Nyika dzeEurope neAmerica dzakatanga kumisa kupinza marasha ekuRussia muna Nyamavhuvhu uye dzinofanirwa kuunza marasha kubva kune dzimwe nyika dziri kure, zvichibatsira kutsigira kudiwa kwevatakuri vazhinji.

Pamusoro pezvo, ongororo yeindasitiri yakataura kuti muna 2023, iyo miviri mitsva yekuchengetedzwa kwezvakatipoteredza mirau ichaita pamusika kusvika 80% yengarava, inosimudzira kukurumidza kubviswa kwechinyakare chekutakura, nepo akawanda anotakura maodha emaoko anga ari. nhoroondo yakaderera, ikozvino maodha anobatwa nemaoko anotora chete 6.57% yezvikepe zviripo, nepo ikozvino ngarava yemakore anopfuura 20 makore ezvizhinji zvinotakura zvinoverengera nezve 7.64%.Naizvozvo, hazvitaurwi kunze kwekuti iyo yakawanda inotakura gap icharamba ichiwedzera mushure megore rinouya.Zvinotendwa zvakanyanya muindasitiri kuti 2023 ichiri gore rine hutano hwekugovera uye kudiwa chimiro chevatakuri vakawanda.